Saturday, January 18, 2014

Zimmer Down: Why All Hope is Not Lost Now that Zimmer is Gone


We have had a few days to digest it. Face it Bengals fans, Mike Zimmer is gone. The collective meltdown of a large portion of the fan base was (and still is) sad, yet not unpredictable. If I hadn’t been a Bengals fan for 32 years, I wouldn’t believe that losing a defensive coordinator could turn an 11-5 team with 3 straight playoff appearances into an 0-16 candidate. But I have. And I can.

 

Listening to many Bengals fans the past week - some highly educated, some not - apparently the loss of Mike Zimmer is suddenly going to zap Geno Atkins of his All-Pro abilities. Vontaze Burfict will come into 2014 resembling the 2004 version of Kevin Hardy. Suddenly Carlos Dunlap is going to morph into Reinard Wilson. Reggie Nelson is going to do his best Ifeanyi Ohalete impression. Adam Jones, Terrence Newman, Leon Hall and Dre Kirkpatrick will no longer be able to cover you or I. And guys like Domato Peko, James Harrison, Wallace Gilberry, etc will suddenly forget how to play football. The Bengals just dropped from Super Bowl Contender in 2013 to preparing for the 1st overall pick in the 2015 draft.

 

Did I want to see Zimmer leave? Hell no. I would have loved to see Zimmer stay here for the rest of his career. Will the loss of Zimmer hurt? Sure. But, with or without Zimmer, this is a very good defense because it has very good players.

 

Bengals fans are a fragile bunch. I get it – I am one. But some of us cannot pull our heads out of the 1991-2003 sand. This is not the same Mike Brown. This is not the same organization. This is an organization that over the last 11 years, has changed. They have become one of the best drafting teams in all of the NFL, and as a result, have a very young, very talented team to show for it. Like everyone reading this, I have my doubts as to whether Marvin can ever win a playoff game, but what I cannot overlook is the fact that (like it or not), Marvin is a huge part of why/how this organization and management team has changed. He is the driving force behind no longer taking “questionable character guys.” He is the driving force behind a bigger and more qualified player personnel department. And though he may not win in the playoffs, he is the driving force behind getting there 4 of the last 5 years and 5 times in his 11 year tenure. That part of his tenure is pretty good. In the last 4 years, the Bengals went from 4-12 (4th), to 9-7 (3rd), to 10-6 (2nd), to 11-5 (1st). That is improvement. And that is not solely Mike Zimmer.

 

Yes, Zimmer may have got more out of them than most, but who is to say Guenther won’t? Guenther is the guy that developed Vontaze Burfict. The guy that brought you Vincent Rey. The guy that was able to get a productive year out of Rey Maualuga, etc.

Like it or not, Lewis is the Bengals coach and barring a disastrous 2014 campaign, will likely continue to be for the foreseeable future. If you were amongst the many calling for the Bengals to move Marvin to GM and Zimmer to HC, or outright fire Marvin and hire Zimmer, save yourself your sanity. It wasn’t going to happen. Get over it. Even if they had fired Marvin, hiring Zimmer without an exhaustive search would have been silly. I love Mike Zimmer as much as the next guy, but he has 0 years experience as a head coach at any level, so who is to say he will be successful. I think he will, but it is no guarantee. Running a great defense is significantly different than running a great team. I remember when another top defensive coordinator in the NFL kept getting passed on for head coaching positions…his name was Marvin Lewis – the guy we all want fired.

 

I am no Marvin apologist, but not one of us can talk about Marvin without slamming for his 0-5 playoff record him (and rightfully so).  But 6 times Zimmer was a defensive coordinator for a playoff team (2 with Dallas, 4 with Cincy) and he has 0 wins as well. While his defense played well enough to win the last 2 years, let’s not forget, Zimmer’s defense: gave up 171, 188, 158 and 196 yards rushing in the Bengals 4 playoff losses during his tenure; they have surrendered an average of 25.3 PPG; they lost to two rookie QBs (Mark Sanchez and TJ Yates) – neither of which still start; they gave up ratings of 139.4 (Sanchez), 97.7 (Yates), 83.4 (Schaub) and 118.8 (Rivers); they have given up 3 TD passes to just 1 INT (Schaub); have just 4 sacks (including 0 sacks twice); allowed 5 TD drives of 75+ yards (2 of 80+ on Sunday); forced just 1 turnover in 4 games; and have surrendered a lead in all 4 games (twice surrendered a halftime lead). Those numbers are every bit as bad as Gruden’s and Bratkowski’s offenses have been in the playoffs. If his name wasn’t Zimmer, we would be hammering him.

 

The point is, while I wanted Zimmer to stay as much as the next guy did, all is not lost now that he is gone. While Zimmer was a very good coordinator, his success was also a product of good players and the players that made Zimmer’s defense #3 in the NFL in 2013 did not leave with him. Take a deep breath Bengals fans. Step away from the ledge and allow yourself to realize that this is not the same Bengals team you still think they are.   

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