Quarterback:
Hoyer did much better than expected last week (321 yards and
3 TDs) and should be given credit. However, lets’ not get carried away. He was
going up against the 29th ranked defense (28th against the
pass) and he did have 3 INTs, a 55.6% completion and a 68.3 rating. Hoyer and
his 150 career passes (54 last week) will be facing a much better defense this
week. Dalton on the other hand is a grisly veteran compared to Hoyer. Dalton
has been under intense scrutiny from Bengals fans, and while he has had some
head scratching and frustrating moments, overall, he is having a very solid
season. 67% completion, 5 TDs, 3 INTs, 93.2 rating and nearly 260 ypg. What
Dalton needs to work on is his starts. In all 3 games, Dalton has gotten off to
a poor start. It won’t get easier in week 4 against a very good Browns defense
(6th). Dalton has a clear advantage here.
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Advantage: Bengals
Offensive Line:
Coming into the season, I believed the Browns had arguably
the best OL in the division and one of the better OL in the NFL (and I think
most Browns fans would agree). After 3 games, I am wrong. The Browns have
surrendered 14 sacks in just 3 games and spurred a running attack so bad, the
term “non-existent” would be a compliment. The Bengals DL should be able to
disrupt the passing and “running game” of the Browns. The Bengals OL will have
a tough task in keeping the Browns defense (12.0 sacks) off Dalton, however,
they have faced 3 good pass rushing teams and have yielded only 5 sacks so far
(though 4 did come last week). The Bengals OL will have their hands full with
this Browns defense, but they are good enough to do so. The Browns on the other
hand may not be capable of keeping the Bengals DL off Hoyer.
Advantage: Bengals
Running Backs:
This one is not even close…comical in fact. While BJGE has
not had a great start, he and Bernard combine for a potent 1-2 punch. The
Browns traded away their top RB (and best player) just last week and their
leading rusher (Josh Aubrey) has 1 whole carry and 34 yards. They did pick up
McGahee, and while I would expect him to be better with a full week of
practice, McGahee is almost 32 and carried 8 times for just 9 yards (1.1 ypc)
against the 21st ranked run defense. The Browns top 5 rushers have 16 carries and 0
TDs…combined, and 2 of those rushers (and 53% of the yards) are not even RBs
(DB and WR). The Browns active RBs have 14 combined rushes for 49 yards compared
to the Bengals 68 rushes, 239 yards and 4 TDs.
Advantage: Bengals
Wide Receivers:
With Gordon making a spectacular return (10 catches for 146
yards and 1 TD), the Browns certainly have a formidable trio of WRs (Gordon,
Little and Bess) that can cause problems for any secondary, especially an
injury depleted secondary like that of the Bengals. However, the Bengals
clearly have the best WR on the field (Green) and with Green, Sanu and Jones,
the Bengals still have the best trio as well.
Advantage: Bengals
Tight Ends:
Jordan Cameron is having one hell of a year (20 catches, 269
yards and 4 TDs) and may be the best TE on the field Sunday. However, the
Bengals have and elite TE as well…in fact they have 2 elite TEs (Gresham and
Eifert) whom they often use at the same time. While Cameron may be the best
single TE on the field, and covering an elite TE is difficult, it is easier to
cover 1 elite TE than it is to cover 2. Therefore, the Bengals have the edge at
TE.
Advantage: Bengals
Defensive Line:
While the Browns have a good DL wit Bryant and Taylor, the
Browns play the 3-4 and their strength is in the LB position. The Bengals on
the other hand have what is arguably the best DL in the NFL with Atkins,
Dunlap, MJ and Peko. The Browns porous OL will have issues keeping this DL off
Hoyer and if the Browns are forced to keep Cameron in to block, that could
really hurt the Browns and help the Bengals.
Advantage: Bengals
Line Backers:
While I believe the best LB on the field will be dawning stripes
(Burfict), the Browns play 4 LBs, 3 of which (Kruger, Jackson and Mingo) have
difference making ability. 3 difference making LBs to the Bengals 1 gives the
Browns the edge at the LB position.
Advantage: Browns
Cornerbacks:
The Bengals have the better group of CBs with Newman, Hall,
Jones and Kirkpatrick, however, all 4 are dealing with injuries and 1 or 2 may
not even play (Hall and Kirkpatrick). The Browns clearly have the best CB
overall with Hayden and with his success against Green, combined with the
injury issues of the Bengals, the Browns have the CB advantage as well.
Advantage: Browns
Safeties:
Rarely do the Bengals have an advantage at safety, but this
makes two weeks in a row. Reggie Nelson is a very good safety, Iloka is playing
well, and the signing of Crocker gives them depth. However, this is not a group
that gives the Bengals any difference making advantage. TJ Ward is a
serviceable safety that has played well in the past against the Bengals, but
not well enough to give the Browns an advantage.
Advantage: Bengals
Kicker:
It will be weird to see Billy Cundiff trot out onto the
field Sunday rather than Phil Dawson, the Browns staple at kicker for seemingly
forever. That is good news for the Bengals as Cundiff is not nearly the kicker
Dawson is. Mike Nugent is a solid, not great kicker but has a career kicking
percentage nearly 5 points better than Billy Cundiff (80.9 to 76.1).
Advantage: Bengals
Coach:
In my recap last week, I forgot to give Marvin credit for
finally having a great challenge which lead to the game turning fumble returned
for a TD. Now you will see another rarity….me giving Marvin the edge in
coaching! Not really because of anything Marvin has done, but more so because
what Chudzinski has not done – he has only 3 games of HC experience and I was
not impressed with what he did in Carolina as the OC…plus, I can’t give a guy
with the name “Chud” the advantage in anything really.
Advantage: Bengals
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